The first poll, from Siena College, shows [Democrat Kathy] Hochul with 42 percent of the vote, the Republican Jane Corwin with 38 percent, and Jack Davis—an unorthodox candidate who is running on the Tea Party ballot line but who has been affiliated with both major parties in the past—with 12 percent. The second, from Public Policy Polling, has Ms. Hochul with a 44-to-38 advantage over Ms. Corwin, and Mr. Davis at 13 percent
If Hochul wins, this will be the fourth time since the Civil War that NY-26 elects a Democrat. Let us call this momentous occasion in Greater New York history the Missed Connection Election of 2011.
Oh, and in case you'd forgotten, Tea Party candidate Jack Davis? Caught on tape slapping the shit out of a constituent two weeks ago. NY-26 promises not to disappoint. [FiveThirtyEight, WSJ, images of Hochul (L) and Corwin (R) via AP]